Bush polls are averaged between the top national non-partisan polls. The ones used are listed in the detail section below. They are averaged to eliminate spikes or valleys by one poll from distorting the national feeling.
Polls are recalculated when either several polls have changed or any poll has changed and several weeks have passed.
Bush polls summary has the poll, the current number, the direction since the last poll and the change, and the date. See the summary section below.
When polls are too old, they are eliminated from the computations, but are listed in their own section for historical interest. Old polls will be re-added for the computations when they are current. See the inactive section for those polls.
Once an average is determine, that one number is kept for historical purposes and for the graph of job approval ratings. The history section includes this number for the past year while the graph goes back to June 2001.
CNN has a big drop to 24% after a jump to 28%. Fox also had a drop to 26% after a jump to 29%. NBC had a slight drop to 26%. CBS had a drop to 20%. This is the lowest we've seen and raises the possibility of a "teens" rating.
ABC (23%) was dropped due to the age of their poll. This helps Bush as they are below the average. Time (28%) was also removed. They were one of the highest for Bush so this really hurts his average and mediates the ABC loss. The net results is a new low of 23.63%.
The record low so far is 23.63% (11 / 10 / 2008).
Over 2 years and 09 months under 40% (from 2/28/06) of sustained ratings.
Over 3 years and 04 months under 45% (from 7/17/05) and
Over 4 years and 09 months under 50% (from 2/16/04) of sustained ratings.
Current average:
24.80%
1.16 lower than last poll (189 points for 08 polls)
Gain/Loss in 2008:
9.38%
January start: 33.00%
After 9/11 drop average:
64.50%
(516 base points for 8 polls)
Just before 9/11 average:
51.75%
621 base point of 12 polls
Just after 9/11 average:
87.41%
1049 base point of 12 polls
9/11 bump:
35.66%
Current high poll(s):
26.00%
Fox (11/01) & NBC (11/01)
Current low poll(s):
20.00%
CBS (10/31)
CBS
20.00%
(-2) 10/31/08
CNN/Opinion Research
24.00%
(-3) 11/06/08
Fox
26.00%
(-2) 11/01/08
Gallup
25.00%
(-0) 10/10/08
LA Times/Bloomberg
23.00%
(+2) 10/10/08
NBC/Wall Street
26.00%
(-1) 11/01/08
Newsweek
23.00%
(-2) 10/22/08
PEW
22.00%
(-5) 10/23/08
ABC & Washington Post
23.00%
(-3) 10/08/08
AP/Ipsos-Reid/AOL
31.00%
(+3) 07/31/08
Harris
24.00%
(-1) 09/17/08
IBD/CSM
43.00%
(-0) 08/02/04
NPR
33.00%
(-5) 05/07/08
Quinnipiac
30.00%
(+4) 08/12/08
Time
28.00%
(+5) 10/03/08
Zogby/Reuters
25.00%
(+0) 07/09/08
CBS & NY Times
10/31/08
20%
Approval
10/25/08
22%
10/19/08
22%
10/10/08
24%
Pre-911
50%
(08/28/01)
Post-911
90%
(10/08/01)
03/07/07
30%
Favorability
02/08/07
32%
01/18/07
27%
CNN/Opinion Research
11/06/08
24%
Approval
10/30/08
28%
10/17/08
27%
10/03/08
24%
Pre-911
--
(n/a)
Post-911
--
(n/a)
09/22/06
46%
Favorability
04/21/06
40%
FOX
11/01/08
26%
Approval
10/28/08
29%
10/20/08
28%
10/08/08
25%
Pre-911
55%
(08/22/01)
Post-911
84%
(10/17/01)
04/28/08
35%
Favorability
02/19/08
35%
12/18/08
39%
Gallup
10/10/08
25%
10/03/08
25%
Approval
09/26/08
27%
09/08/08
31%
Pre-911
51%
(09/07/01)
Post-911
90%
(09/21/01)
04/18/08
32%
Favorability
07/12/07
37%
06/01/07
40%
LA Times/Bloomberg
10/10/08
23%
Approval
09/19/08
27%
08/15/08
25%
06/17/08
23%
Pre-911
57%
(04/21/01)
Post-911
86%
(11/10/01)
01/15/05
55%
Favorability
08/21/04
53%
06/05/04
50%
NBC/Wall Street Journal
11/01/08
26%
Approval
10/17/08
27%
10/04/08
29%
09/19/08
30%
Pre-911
50%
(06/23/01)
03/24/08
33%
Fav. (Very & Somewhat)
03/07/08
34%
01/20/08
32%
Newsweek
10/22/08
23%
Approval
10/08/08
25%
07/09/08
28%
04/16/08
28%
Pre-911
50%
(05/10/01)
Post-911
88%
(10/11/01)
03/05/08
33%
Favorability
10/31/07
34%
10/14/04
51%
PEW
10/23/08
22%
Approval
10/09/08
25%
07/31/08
28%
07/23/08
27%
Pre-911
51%
(08/21/01)
Post-911
86%
(09/21/01)
ABC/Washington Post
10/08/08
23%
Approval
09/27/08
26%
08/19/08
30%
07/10/08
28%
Pre-911
55%
(09/06/01)
Post-911
92%
(10/08/01)
03/02/06
46%
Favorability
06/02/05
48%
10/02/04
53%
AP Ipsos-Reid/Cook
07/31/08
31%
Approval
07/10/08
28%
06/12/08
29%
04/07/08
28%
Pre-911
45%
(09/05/01)
Post-911
88%
(11/09/01)
11/04/05
38%
Favorability
10/08/05
41%
09/09/05
42%
Harris
09/17/08
24%
Approval
08/06/08
25%
06/04/08
24%
04/02/08
26%
Pre-911
52%
(08/15/01)
Post-911
88%
(10/17/01)
Investor's Business Daily/
Christian Science Monitor
08/02/04
43%
Approval
06/01/04
43%
06/02/03
57%
05/05/03
64%
Pre-911
45%
(09/05/01)
Post-911
82%
(10/03/01)
08/02/04
43%
Favorability
06/01/04
42%
06/02/03
55%
National Public Radio
05/07/08
33%
Approval
01/29/08
38%
10/04/07
38%
04/26/07
37%
Pre-911
N/A
not found
Post-911
N/A
not found
03/19/08
34%
Fav. (very/mostly)
02/20/08
35%
01/30/08
34%
Quinnipiac University
08/12/08
30%
Approval
07/08/08
26%
05/08/08
28%
10/23/07
35%
Pre-911
N/A
not known
Post-911
N/A
not known
11/13/06
44%
Favorability
08/17/06
46%
05/21/06
43%
Zogby
07/09/08
25%
Approval
06/12/08
25%
05/15/08
23%
04/10/08
28%
Pre-911
50%
(08/28/01)
Post-911
82%
(09/14/01)
10/20/06
45%
Favorability
10/10/06
47%
09/22/06
49%
Time
10/03/08
28%
Approval
09/26/08
23%
07/31/08
29%
04/05/07
33%
Pre-911
55%
(07/17/01)
Post-911
89%
